Sunday Service Play Thread 10/23/2022

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BuzzKill

BuzzKill

Let's go Brandon!
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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

Posting guidelines - http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1168075

Please do not post Twitter plays or forum member plays in this thread.

Do not post these services:
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Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Oct 23 2022 1:00PM
454 JAC -2.5 (-120)William Hill vs 453 NYG double-dime bet

Analysis:
7-5 prop week. and now with 3 props pending for MNF. For the season we are 50-34 +11.1 units on props, and 45-22 since our rough start to the season.

Sides/Totals/Teasers have been awful during the regular season. Overall, for the year (counting preseason, which is very high edge), we are 31-31-3 and -6.9 units.

As I said last week, even though prop plays are officially one unit plays due to liquidity purposes, if you can bet more on props than sides/totals, it's not a bad idea. It's not unheard of for sharp prop bettors to hit 60% lifetime on props, whereas the best NFL sides and totals players are hitting 55% or so. It's a hard market to beat that has a lot more variance (don't remind me about the endings of KC/BUF, CAR/LAR this week)
 

Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Oct 23 2022 4:05PM
465 NYJ +3.0 (-115)Westgate vs 466 DEN double-dime bet

Analysis: I lean that Wilson does not play, and I make this game 3 even with a healthy Wilson


Update: I didn't get this off in time, as looks like it was unattainable at the majority of shops. This pick will not be counted. It will stay up but will not be graded as a win or loss. If you did get it off, congrats, you have a +EV play IMO.

Could potentially be a teaser play incoming instead.
 

Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Teaser - Sunday, Oct 23 2022 4:05PM
LV/NYJ

(-120)William Hill 467 HOU vs 468 LVR double-dime bet

Analysis: 6 PT TEASER: Raiders -1/Jets +8.5 -120 (Consensus)

Like I mentioned earlier, just reading the tea leaves I expect Russ to not play, and I like this teaser regardless of if he does or not.

The Jets +3 pick is not being counted as it was unattainable.
 
doczano

doczano

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Northcoast Newsletter Keys

Power Plays with projected score:
A NY Giants (20-20)
B ------------
C Seattle (28-29)
D San Fran (24-22)

Power Sweep
A -----------
B NY Jets (by 6)
C NY Giants (by 6)
D Tampa Bay (by 20)

Totals:
Det/Dal over
Clev/Balt over
Jets/Denver under
 

donsketch

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Apr 3, 2021
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2022-10-20Follow the MoneyPaul CharchianNFL2022-10-20Deandre Hopkins any-time TD +115
2022-10-20Follow the MoneyMitch MossNFL2022-10-20Deandre Hopkins Over 60.5 Receiving Yards
2022-10-20The Greg Peterson ExperienceTom CasaleNFL2022-10-20Kyler Murray OVER 1.5 TDs
2022-10-20The Greg Peterson ExperienceTom CasaleNFL2022-10-20Kyler Murray OVER 245.5 Passing Yards
2022-10-20The Greg Peterson ExperienceScott ReichelNFL2022-10-20Kyler Murray OVER 245.5 Passing Yards
2022-10-20The Greg Peterson ExperienceGreg PetersonNFL2022-10-20Cardinals -2 vs Saints
2022-10-20The Greg Peterson ExperienceGreg PetersonNFL2022-10-20Cardinals/Saints OVER 44
2022-10-20A Numbers GameJohn LaghezzaNFL2022-10-22Juwan Johnson 25+ Receiving Yards
2022-10-20The Lombardi LineWill HillNFL2022-10-23Broncos -1
2022-10-20The Lombardi LineWill HillNFL2022-10-23Colts +2.5
2022-10-20The Lombardi LineWill HillNFL2022-10-23Commanders +4.5
2022-10-20The Greg Peterson ExperienceTom CasaleNFL2022-10-23Jets/Broncos UNDER 42
2022-10-20The Greg Peterson ExperienceMark DrumhellerNFL2022-10-23Lions +7 at Cowboys
2022-10-20The Greg Peterson ExperienceMark DrumhellerNFL2022-10-24Patriots -8 vs Bears
 

Yankees5560

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HITMAN | NFL Teaser - Thursday, Oct 20 2022 8:15PM
NO/NE

(-120)William Hill 303 NOS vs 304 ARI double-dime bet

Analysis: 2* 6 PT TEASER: Patriots -1.5/Saints +7.5 -120


I put this into the system wrong the other day. This isn't a double bet, just re posting the play I made earlier. It counts only once.

As of Wednesday afternoon, we have two teasers, and the Indy bet as well as Jags bet. Four total
 
Jedini

Jedini

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Milan Wolkosky


20* Dallas Cowboys -7
20* Giants / Jaguars Under 43
20* Colts / Titans Over 42
20* Indianapolis Colts +2½
20* Browns / Ravens Under 45½
20* Green Bay Packers -5
20* New York Jets +1
20* Chiefs / 49ers Under 49
 
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